To better understand impacts of climate change across diverse sectors in Hawai‘i, resource managers and scientists collaborate with climate modelers who create projections of future climate conditions, such as changes in patterns of rainfall and temperature at the end of the 21st century. To make global climate projections applicable for Hawai‘i, the models must be downscaled to provide increased spatial detail for resource managers and cultural stewards.
A workshop held in September 2015 brought together climate modelers and resource managers to discuss areas of agreement about different aspects of climate projection. The purpose of this fact sheet is to summarize levels of expert consensus across different climate projections, and to offer guidance for resource managers, cultural stewards, and community leaders to better understand applications and limitations of available projections for the State.
Pacific Islands Regional Climate Assessment (PIRCA), Pacific Islands Climate Science Center (PICSC) and Pacific RISA, 2016. Expert Consensus on Downscaled Climate Projections for the Main Hawaiian Islands. PIRCA Information Sheet, Honolulu, HI.