21st Century High-Resolution Climate Projections for Guam and American Samoa
A first step to preparing society for climate change is to develop predictions of future conditions with sufficient detail to inform decision makers. This study produced the first-ever set of high-resolution climate projections for the U.S. Territories of Guam and American Samoa. These projections include rainfall, air temperature, and tropical cyclone patterns for the end of the century. Communities on Guam and American Samoa will experience different patterns of climate change. Importantly, the U.S. Affiliated Pacific Islands have diverse cultural systems and sets of management options. Climate adaptation planning and programs should be tailored to the detailed conditions for each jurisdiction.
Project page and data on ScienceBase
This research feature was produced by the Pacific Islands Climate Science Center.
C. Zhang and Y. Wang, 2017 | Projected Future Changes of Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Western North and South Pacific in a 20-km-Mesh Regional Climate Model | Journal of Climate | https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0597.1
C. Zhang, K. Hamilton, and Y. Wang, 2017 | Monitoring and projecting snow on Hawaii Island | Earth’s Future | https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000478
C. Zhang, Y. Wang, K. Hamilton, and A. Lauer, 2016 | Dynamical Downscaling of the Climate for the Hawaiian Islands. Part II: Projection for the Late Twenty-First Century | Journal of Climate | https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0038.1
C. Zhang, Y. Wang, K. Hamilton, and A. Lauer, 2016 | Dynamical Downscaling of the Climate for the Hawaiian Islands. Part I: Present Day | Journal of Climate | https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0432.1
Projections of Future Climate Patterns for the Islands of Hawai’i and Maui | Pacific Islands Climate Change Cooperative