How will cloud forests change in the future? Hawai‘i’s cloud forests are the last remaining intact habitat for many endangered forest bird species and are essential for the islands’ water supply. This project predicts future distributions of cloud forests and species across high mountain ecosystems in Hawai‘i, which are experiencing rapid rates of change. The project develops the future distribution models by integrating products from paleo-records, a climate-vegetation network on Haleakalā, and new regional downscaling of future climate projections.
Crausbay, Genderjahn Hotchkiss, Sachse, Kahmen, and Arndt 2014 | Vegetation dynamics at the upper reaches of a tropical montane forest are driven by disturbance over the past 7300 years | Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research | DOI: 10.1657/1938-4246-46.4.787.
Crausbay, Frazier, Giambelluca, Longman, and Hotchkiss 2014 | Moisture status during a strong El Niño explains a tropical montane cloud forest’s upper limit | Oecologia |DOI: 10.1007/s00442-014-2888-8